NFL Predictions & Best-Price Odds
Our NFL predictions are built from price data, not opinion. Across sampled American Football markets, DraftKings holds the best price on 54.5% of lines and Pinnacle on 53.4% — the two books that most often set the market for Canadian bettors on iGaming Ontario platforms. Below we translate that into the Week 1 (Sept 10–13, 2026) card: which side each book prices sharpest, and where the futures market currently rates the field. All figures are the supplied best available prices; treat them as inputs, not guarantees.
Where the best NFL prices sit
Best-price share tells you how often a book posts the top number on a given market. On sampled NFL and American Football lines, two operators dominate:
- DraftKings — 54.5% best-price share, 4.21% average margin (898 lines sampled)
- Pinnacle — 53.4% best-price share, 3.12% average margin (221 lines sampled)
- Caesars Sportsbook — 36.7% best-price share (784 lines)
- FanDuel — 23.5% best-price share, 4.06% margin (306 lines)
- BetRivers — 18.9% best-price share, 6.28% margin (280 lines)
- BetMGM — 14.6% best-price share, 4.69% margin (240 lines)
Pinnacle's 3.12% average margin is the tightest in the sample, which is why it competes on price despite a leaner feature set (no Bet Builder, features rated 7.4). DraftKings pairs a high best-price share with strong depth (marketCoverage 9.0) and app (9.3). For NFL specifically, holding accounts across DraftKings, Caesars and one low-margin book covers most of the top-of-market.
Week 1 best prices, game by game
Best available moneyline prices on the opening slate. The book named holds the top number in the supplied data.
- Seahawks 1.54 (DraftKings) vs Patriots 2.64 (Caesars)
- Rams 1.53 (BetMGM) vs 49ers 2.72 (FanDuel)
- Steelers 1.62 (FanDuel) vs Falcons 2.45 (DraftKings)
- Colts 2.65 (BetRivers) vs Ravens 1.57 (DraftKings)
- Texans 1.98 (DraftKings) vs Bills 1.95 (BetMGM) — the tightest game on the board
- Panthers 2.28 (FanDuel) vs Bears 1.68 (DraftKings)
- Bengals 1.53 (BetMGM) vs Buccaneers 2.76 (FanDuel)
- Jaguars 1.27 (DraftKings) vs Browns 4.20 (FanDuel) — biggest implied gap
- Lions 1.31 (DraftKings) vs Saints 3.70 (BetRivers)
- Titans 1.75 (FanDuel) vs Jets 2.24 (DraftKings)
No single book owns every top price. On the Texans–Bills pick'em, DraftKings has the home side and BetMGM the away — a 3.8% combined edge over taking both from one operator. That spread is the practical case for line shopping.
Reading the model, not the favourite
Short prices carry big implied probabilities: Jaguars at 1.27 imply roughly 79%, Lions at 1.31 imply about 76%. The value question is whether the true probability exceeds that, and the underdog price is where books differ most. FanDuel's Browns at 4.20 and BetRivers' Saints at 3.70 are the widest away numbers on the card — worth noting because underdog longshots are exactly where a low-margin book returns more if your read is right.
FanDuel and DraftKings also run Same Game Parlay, so correlated NFL props (favourite plus its total) are priced in-house rather than pieced together. Bet Builder is available at bet365, Betano and Betway if you prefer their structure. Treat any parlay as margin-heavy relative to the single-line prices above.
Super Bowl futures — current market
Best available outright prices, each drawn from a 4-book comparison:
- Los Angeles Rams — 6.5 (DraftKings)
- Buffalo Bills — 12 (FanDuel)
- Seattle Seahawks — 12 (BetMGM)
- Baltimore Ravens — 13 (FanDuel)
- Kansas City Chiefs — 18 (FanDuel)
- Los Angeles Chargers — 18 (BetMGM)
- Philadelphia Eagles — 19 (BetMGM)
- Detroit Lions — 20 (DraftKings)
- San Francisco 49ers — 20 (DraftKings)
- Denver Broncos — 21 (BetRivers)
The Rams sit clear at 6.5, roughly a 15% implied title chance — the only single-digit price in the supplied field. On longer futures the book paying the top number varies by team, so check per-selection rather than defaulting to one operator. See our futures odds and market movers pages for how these numbers shift.
Legal and payment notes for Canada
Every operator listed here is registered with iGaming Ontario, which — with the AGCO — regulates online betting in Ontario specifically, not Canada-wide. Other provinces run their own regimes through provincial lottery corporations and regulators, so availability and legal status vary by where you live. Minimum age is 19.
All listed books take Interac and Visa, with min deposit $10 and 0–24h withdrawal windows. bet365, Betway, Unibet, theScore Bet and LeoVegas also list Apple Pay; Sports Interaction lists InstaDebit. Always confirm what applies in your province before betting.
