New York Mets vs San Diego Padres — Prediction
MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 07:11 p.m.
De-margined probabilities favour the draw (73%). Anything above 1.36 beats the market's own estimate.
The market has already made up its mind on New York Mets v San Diego Padres in the MLB (Mon, Aug 17, 07:11 p.m.): stripping bookmaker margin out of 5 price feeds gives New York Mets 73% against 27% for San Diego Padres.
Fair odds on New York Mets sit at 1.37; the best available price is 1.36 at DraftKings; San Diego Padres pays up to 4.75 at BetMGM. Average margin on this match is 4.3% — anything above fair value is worth taking, anything below it is paying the bookmaker's spread.
Implied probability
New York Mets 73% San Diego Padres 27%
1X2 / Moneyline
| Operator | 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.36▼0.40 | 3.34▲1.26 | Compare Odds |
| FanDuel | 1.33▼0.50 | 3.60▲1.58 | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 1.33▼0.47 | 3.30▲1.15 | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.30▼0.58 | 3.25▲1.31 | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 1.18▼0.56 | 4.75▲2.65 | Compare Odds |
Spread / Handicap
| Operator (-2.5) | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.15 | Compare Odds |
| FanDuel | 2.00 | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 2.00 | Compare Odds |
| DraftKings | 1.95 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (-2) | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.85 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (-1.5) | 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.97▲2.44 | — | Compare Odds |
| FanDuel | 4.70▲2.06 | — | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 4.50▲1.92 | — | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 2.45▼0.10 | — | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.88▼0.77 | — | Compare Odds |
Total
| Operator (4.5) | over | under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.89 | 1.85 | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 1.87 | 1.87 | Compare Odds |
| DraftKings | 1.83 | 1.93 | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.83 | 1.85 | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 1.53 | 2.45 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (6.5) | over | under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.02 | 1.74 | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.94 | 1.76 | Compare Odds |
| DraftKings | 1.92 | 1.84 | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 1.80 | 1.98 | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 1.74 | 2.05 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (7) | over | under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.78 | 1.91 | Compare Odds |