Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins — Prediction
MLB · Mon, Aug 17, 06:40 p.m.
De-margined probabilities favour the draw (86%). Anything above 1.17 beats the market's own estimate.
The market has already made up its mind on Philadelphia Phillies v Miami Marlins in the MLB (Mon, Aug 17, 06:40 p.m.): stripping bookmaker margin out of 5 price feeds gives Philadelphia Phillies 86% against 14% for Miami Marlins.
Fair odds on Philadelphia Phillies sit at 1.16; the best available price is 1.17 at Caesars Sportsbook; Miami Marlins pays up to 9.50 at BetMGM. Average margin on this match is 4.4% — anything above fair value is worth taking, anything below it is paying the bookmaker's spread.
Implied probability
Philadelphia Phillies 86% Miami Marlins 14%
1X2 / Moneyline
| Operator | 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars Sportsbook | 1.17▼0.41 | 5.00▲2.43 | Compare Odds |
| DraftKings | 1.12▼0.43 | 7.10▲4.60 | Compare Odds |
| FanDuel | 1.12▼0.35 | 7.00▲4.20 | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.09▼0.31 | 6.40▲3.30 | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 1.05▼0.40 | 9.50▲6.70 | Compare Odds |
Spread / Handicap
| Operator (-3) | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.00 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (-2.5) | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 1.91▼0.17 | Compare Odds |
| FanDuel | 1.89▼0.05 | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 1.87▼0.04 | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.87▼0.04 | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 1.48▼0.57 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (-2) | 1 | |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.00▲0.08 | Compare Odds |
Total
| Operator (4.5) | over | under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.62 | 2.25 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (5.5) | over | under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.94▲0.16 | 1.80▼0.16 | Compare Odds |
| DraftKings | 1.93▲0.09 | 1.82▼0.10 | Compare Odds |
| BetRivers | 1.88 | 1.82 | Compare Odds |
| Caesars Sportsbook | 1.83 | 1.91 | Compare Odds |
| BetMGM | 1.67 | 2.18 | Compare Odds |
| Operator (6) | over | under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.83▼0.05 | 1.85▲0.06 | Compare Odds |