Southampton vs Stoke City — Prediction
Championship В· Sat, 22 Aug, 15:00
De-margined probabilities favour the draw (57%). Anything above 1.76 beats the market's own estimate.
The market has already made up its mind on Southampton v Stoke City in the Championship (Sat, 22 Aug, 15:00): stripping bookmaker margin out of 9 price feeds gives Southampton 57% against 20% for Stoke City and the draw at 23%.
Fair odds on Southampton sit at 1.75; the best available price is 1.67 at 888sport; Stoke City pays up to 4.80 at Ladbrokes. Average margin on this match is 8.3% — anything above fair value is worth taking, anything below it is paying the bookmaker's spread.
Implied probability
Southampton 57% X 23% Stoke City 20%
1X2 / Moneyline
| Operator | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.67▼0.03 | 3.75▼0.05 | 4.75▲0.35 | Compare Odds |
| William Hill | 1.67▼0.03 | 3.75▼0.05 | 4.75▲0.35 | Compare Odds |
| Ladbrokes | 1.65▼0.05 | 4.00 | 4.80▲0.30 | Compare Odds |
| Betfair | 1.65▲0.55 | 4.10▲3.02 | 4.80▲3.73 | Compare Odds |
| Unibet | 1.65▼0.05 | 4.00 | 4.60▲0.35 | Compare Odds |
| BetVictor | 1.60▼0.05 | 3.90 | 4.75▲0.35 | Compare Odds |
| Paddy Power | 1.57▼0.10 | 4.00 | 4.75▲0.55 | Compare Odds |
| BoyleSports | 1.57▼0.10 | 4.00▲0.20 | 4.50▲0.50 | Compare Odds |
| Betway | 1.57▼0.10 | 4.00 | 4.75▲0.75 | Compare Odds |