Southampton vs Stoke City — Prediction
Championship В· Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 a.m.
De-margined probabilities favour the draw (57%). Anything above 1.75 beats the market's own estimate.
The market has already made up its mind on Southampton v Stoke City in the Championship (Sat, Aug 22, 10:00 a.m.): stripping bookmaker margin out of 5 price feeds gives Southampton 57% against 20% for Stoke City and the draw at 23%.
Fair odds on Southampton sit at 1.75; the best available price is 1.67 at 888sport; Stoke City pays up to 5.10 at Pinnacle. Average margin on this match is 7.6% — anything above fair value is worth taking, anything below it is paying the bookmaker's spread.
Implied probability
Southampton 57% X 23% Stoke City 20%
1X2 / Moneyline
| Operator | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.67▼0.03 | 3.75▼0.05 | 4.75▲0.35 | Compare Odds |
| Unibet | 1.65▼0.05 | 4.00 | 4.60▲0.35 | Compare Odds |
| LeoVegas | 1.64▼0.06 | 4.00 | 4.50▲0.17 | Compare Odds |
| Pinnacle | 1.62▲0.07 | 4.12▼0.12 | 5.10▼0.26 | Compare Odds |
| Betway | 1.57▼0.10 | 4.00 | 4.75▲0.75 | Compare Odds |