Southampton vs Stoke City — Prediction
Championship В· Sun, 23 Aug, 12:00 am
De-margined probabilities favour the draw (57%). Anything above 1.76 beats the market's own estimate.
The market has already made up its mind on Southampton v Stoke City in the Championship (Sun, 23 Aug, 12:00 am): stripping bookmaker margin out of 2 price feeds gives Southampton 57% against 20% for Stoke City and the draw at 23%.
Fair odds on Southampton sit at 1.75; the best available price is 1.65 at Ladbrokes; Stoke City pays up to 4.80 at Ladbrokes. Average margin on this match is 6.9% — anything above fair value is worth taking, anything below it is paying the bookmaker's spread.
Implied probability
Southampton 57% X 23% Stoke City 20%
1X2 / Moneyline
| Operator | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes | 1.65▼0.05 | 4.00 | 4.80▲0.30 | Compare Odds |
| Unibet | 1.65▼0.05 | 4.00 | 4.60▲0.35 | Compare Odds |