UFC / MMA Predictions & Odds Analysis
For upcoming UFC / MMA cards, FanDuel currently posts the best price on most of the near-term matchups we sampled — but that lead flips fight by fight. On the later card starting August 22, best moneyline prices are split across Caesars, BetRivers, DraftKings, BetMGM and Caesars depending on the bout. This page tracks where the sharpest fight prices sit and how operator margins shape the value, rather than issuing pick-em predictions without tracked results.
Best UFC / MMA prices on upcoming fights
Odds are decimal, reflect the best available price at sampling and move before first bell.
- Alik Lorenz vs Mahamed Aly (Aug 19): Lorenz 1.32 (FanDuel), Aly 3.30 (FanDuel)
- Douglas Rodrigues vs Trent Miller (Aug 19): Rodrigues 1.29 (FanDuel), Miller 3.50 (FanDuel)
- Namo Fazil vs Kaik Brito (Aug 19): Fazil 1.56 (FanDuel), Brito 2.38 (FanDuel)
- Roman Puga vs Taner Trembley (Aug 19): Puga 2.22 (FanDuel), Trembley 1.64 (FanDuel)
- Nasrat Haqparast vs Chris Padilla (Aug 22): Haqparast 1.91 (Caesars), Padilla 1.95 (BetRivers)
- Jackson McVey vs Wes Schultz (Aug 22): McVey 1.56 (BetRivers), Schultz 2.54 (DraftKings)
- Jamall Emmers vs Lerryan Douglas (Aug 22): Emmers 4.10 (BetMGM), Douglas 1.29 (BetRivers)
- Marquel Mederos vs Mason Jones (Aug 22): Mederos 3.20 (BetRivers), Jones 1.38 (Caesars)
- Márcio Barbosa vs Ryan Kuse (Aug 22): Barbosa 1.11 (DraftKings), Kuse 7.00 (BetRivers)
The pattern is clear on the Aug 22 card: no single book wins every line. Shopping the two-way market — Caesars for Haqparast, BetRivers for the McVey and Mederos underdogs, BetMGM for the Emmers dog — is where the measurable edge is on MMA moneylines.
Which sportsbook prices UFC best
Across our full US moneyline sample, DraftKings leads on best-price share at 54.0% (1,068 markets sampled) with an average margin of 4.25%. FanDuel returns the best price 36.1% of the time (596 markets) at a 4.46% margin. Fanatics is the value surprise: 41.8% best-price share across 466 markets at the lowest sampled margin, 4.25%.
At the other end, BetMGM's average margin runs 5.21% with only a 19.9% best-price share, Caesars sits at 5.27% margin and 36.2% share, and BetRivers is the widest at 6.35% margin — though its 28.3% best-price share on the fights above shows it still tops individual underdog lines.
For two-fighter MMA moneylines the practical read: DraftKings and Fanatics give you the best hit rate on top price, but on any single bout you should still check FanDuel and BetRivers before locking in.
Why margin matters more on fight cards
MMA is a low-selection sport — usually a two-way moneyline plus method-of-victory and round props. That concentration means the bookmaker margin baked into the two-way price is the clearest signal of value. A 4.25% margin (DraftKings, Fanatics) versus 6.35% (BetRivers) is roughly two points of hold you pay on every UFC moneyline.
Our ratings reflect this alongside market depth. bet365 scores highest overall on market coverage (9.6) and sports depth (9.5), with an odds rating of 8.8 — useful for prop and Bet Builder depth on major cards. DraftKings and FanDuel both rate 9.2–9.3 on app quality and offer Same Game Parlay for stacking fight props into a single ticket.
How to use this page
We do not publish win-rate prediction claims without a tracked archive. Instead the page ranks operators on measurable inputs: best-price share, average margin, sample size and feature depth. Treat the listed best prices as a shopping map, not a tip sheet.
Before betting, confirm the operator is live in your state. US sports betting is regulated state by state — a book licensed in New Jersey is not automatically legal in Ohio, Michigan or New York. Minimum betting age is 21. Availability, rules and payments depend on your state regulator.
